TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team will cover the second-half spread in the upcoming NFL game between the Denver Broncos and the San Francisco 49ers. Currently, the Polymarket market gives a 99.5% probability to the 49ers covering the -1.5 spread, with a 29% probability assigned to the 49ers covering the -6.5 spread. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Traders should closely watch the kickoff on October 4 at 4:25PM ET, as the outcome of this game will determine market settlement.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has access to unique insights. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Broncos-49ers game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability will likely cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game could also play a role in driving trading activity and influencing the market’s direction.