TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Bristol City and Sheffield United. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Bristol City vs Sheffield United EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—defines a separate market outcome. If the actual goal count meets or exceeds a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring probability. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time estimate of the likelihood of over/under goal scenarios. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at each price point, indicating the level of conviction among traders. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing process based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Bristol City vs Sheffield United match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be verified against sources considered authoritative for football statistics. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bristol City or Sheffield United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or stadium conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception, potentially leading to price fluctuations.