TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Bristol City and Sheffield United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Bristol City versus Sheffield United EFL Championship match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Bristol City winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bristol City winning by more than 1.5 goals, Sheffield United winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Sheffield United winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are irrelevant. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Bristol City vs Sheffield United match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that particular spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate diverse opinions and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread – the difference in goals scored by Bristol City and Sheffield United – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bristol City or Sheffield United would likely cause movement. Significant changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.