TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Bristol City and Blackburn. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Bristol City vs Blackburn EFL Championship match scheduled for October 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves based solely on its own threshold criteria. The governing rules emphasize that the resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by the EFL Championship, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the prices in this market tend to converge with those found at sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still emerge due to differing market participants and risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional polls in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating the event’s outcome. As demand for a particular outcome increases, its price rises, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and responsive market reflecting collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Bristol City vs Blackburn match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process ensures transparency and objectivity, based on publicly available data. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bristol City or Blackburn would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the referee or stadium conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing prices to adjust accordingly.