TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a league game scheduled for October 13, 2026. The focus is on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Bristol City vs Blackburn professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bristol City secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Bristol City' market resolves to Yes. If Blackburn achieves the win, the 'Blackburn' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude with an equal scoreline, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result within regular time including stoppage time.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market odds adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbook odds, as traders react quickly to developments related to the Bristol City vs Blackburn match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the overall expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism based on real-time market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bristol City vs Blackburn match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Bristol City, a win for Blackburn, or a draw – actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups closer to the match date are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Bristol City vs Blackburn match.