TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Paris and Borna Gojo in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Tom Paris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Paris and Borna Gojo in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Borna Gojo. This market will resolve to 'Borna Gojo' if Borna Gojo advances against Tom Paris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on the mispricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Paris vs Gojo match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market's consensus view, and changes as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. The higher the price of a share representing a particular outcome, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to occur.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paris vs Gojo match as declared by the relevant tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts might also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions.