TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 2:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Federico Cina in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Federico Cina in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Mochizuki vs Cina match. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and with different incentives.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mochizuki vs Cina match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 3, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event, or even detailed analysis of the players' recent form, could also move the market. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts that might impact trading activity in this market.