TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Peniston and Benjamin Hassan in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Peniston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Peniston and Benjamin Hassan in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Peniston' if Ryan Peniston advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Peniston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or subtle shifts in player form, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, ensuring that there is always a market for shares, and prices adjust based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Ryan Peniston and Benjamin Hassan as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verifiable data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either player in other recent matches, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could sway opinions and drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely winner of the Peniston vs Hassan match.