TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Niels McDonald in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Niels McDonald in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Niels McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Niels McDonald' if Niels McDonald advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can offer insights into where the public and professional bettors diverge in their expectations for the Brest match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Brest match. The current price indicates the collective prediction of traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Michael Geerts and Niels McDonald in Brest. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Michael Geerts or Niels McDonald could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or broader sporting events could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving expectations for the Brest match.