TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Leo Raquillet in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Leo Raquillet. This market will resolve to 'Leo Raquillet' if Leo Raquillet advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Leo Raquillet in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Leo Raquillet. This market will resolve to 'Leo Raquillet' if Leo Raquillet advances against Michael Geerts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds, which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react slowly to new information, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more people participate. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before the event, as the market adjusts to news and analysis regarding the players involved in the Brest badminton match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Brest badminton match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Michael Geerts and Leo Raquillet. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources that report the final score and official results of the Brest badminton match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or coaching changes could also move the market. Furthermore, general sentiment and analysis from badminton experts and fans can impact trading activity. A strong showing by either player in a preceding tournament, or even a compelling social media narrative, could all contribute to shifts in the price of shares in this market.