TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Otto Virtanen in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Otto Virtanen. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Otto Virtanen in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Otto Virtanen. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Matisse Bobichon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may incorporate information not readily available to sportsbooks, or weigh existing information differently. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as the market develops its own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Brest tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Otto Virtanen, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the new data and their expectations for the Brest tennis match.