TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniil Glinka in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniil Glinka in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines, or simply have different beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the match between Hugo Gaston and Daniil Glinka, as determined by official tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome that reflects the actual result of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in the players’ recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price fluctuations. Publicly available match previews, expert analysis, and even social media discussions surrounding the Gaston-Glinka match could all contribute to shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.