TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Gabriel Diallo in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Gabriel Diallo in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Gabriel Diallo. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s lifecycle. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data regarding the Maestrelli vs Diallo match. Observing these differences can be insightful for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Maestrelli vs Diallo match. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the price beyond the actions of traders on the platform. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing environment.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maestrelli vs Diallo match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available data for verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a shift in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that might move this market related to the Maestrelli vs Diallo match.