TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Ugo Blanchet in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Ugo Blanchet. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Ugo Blanchet in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Ugo Blanchet. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Felix Balshaw. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as individuals buy and sell contracts based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the match. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular player winning the match, and this is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Felix Balshaw and Ugo Blanchet. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily impact the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements in this market.