TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Adrien Gobat in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Adrien Gobat in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Observing these differences can be insightful for those seeking to identify potential value in either market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Hemery vs Gobat match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hemery vs Gobat match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trustworthy sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and reliable, providing a clear and definitive result for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also affect the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Nov 1, 2026.