TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adan Freire Da Silva and Vadym Ursu in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adan Freire Da Silva and Vadym Ursu in the Brest, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Vadym Ursu. This market will resolve to 'Vadym Ursu' if Vadym Ursu advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers. This could be due to unique insights held by traders or a differing assessment of the relative strengths of the competitors. It's worth comparing the two to see where the edge might lie.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Brest vs Ursu match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Adan Freire Da Silva vs Vadym Ursu match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or fitness levels could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments could lead to reassessments of the players’ overall capabilities. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market in the coming weeks.