TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Brentford and Liverpool. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Brentford vs Liverpool professional EPL soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any given market, resolution to 'Yes' occurs if the combined goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) within 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the actual final score. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public opinion, offering opportunities for arbitrage between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Brentford vs Liverpool match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected number of goals scored. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Brentford vs Liverpool match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contract at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Brentford or Liverpool would significantly impact expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team formations or tactical changes could also shift the market. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Any significant news related to player form or team morale could also cause fluctuations in trading activity and price adjustments within this market.