TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Premier League soccer match between Brentford and Liverpool, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the goal differential in the Brentford versus Liverpool EPL match scheduled for October 17, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. If Brentford wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that condition. Similarly, if Liverpool secures a victory by more than 1.5 goals, or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves positively. Each rule operates independently, allowing for potential multiple resolutions depending on the exact goal differential. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the league or its intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Brentford vs Liverpool match outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the spread in the Brentford vs Liverpool match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that the market believes a particular spread will occur, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Brentford vs Liverpool match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual goal difference achieved in the game. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the available contracts. Traders will receive their payouts accordingly after the official result is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Brentford or Liverpool would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding referee assignments or controversies surrounding either club could also contribute to shifts in the market for the Brentford vs Liverpool match.