TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Bremen vs Paderborn professional Bundesliga soccer game will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to “Tie is the result” and a 1.0% probability to “Bremen wins”. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the fixture. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Paderborn wins the Bremen vs Paderborn game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 after the full regulation playing time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bremen vs Paderborn professional Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Bremen wins, the 'Bremen' market resolves to Yes. If Paderborn wins, the 'Paderborn' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed betting, but remember that each represents a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bremen vs Paderborn match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or changes in coaching staff would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, as they influence broader perceptions of each team’s chances. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market and inform your trading decisions.