TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Bremen and Hoffenheim, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this head-to-head competition.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Bremen vs Hoffenheim Bundesliga match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Bremen winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bremen winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hoffenheim winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hoffenheim winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule that matches the actual goal differential, while all other rules resolve to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply a different assessment of team strengths and potential outcomes. It’s common to see this market offer odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Bremen vs Hoffenheim match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge on a fair and accurate assessment of the likely outcome, based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Bremen vs Hoffenheim match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final spread will be determined by the difference in scores between the two teams at the end of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bremen or Hoffenheim would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also shift the price. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market.