TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential match disruptions, ensuring a fair resolution if the game cannot proceed as scheduled.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Breda vs Maastricht professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026: a win for Breda, a win for Maastricht, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the Breda vs Maastricht match. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, potentially creating discrepancies. These differences can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different result than traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Breda vs Maastricht match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a transparent and efficient way to forecast the event's result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Breda vs Maastricht match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It is important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, coaching decisions, and even public opinion expressed through polls or expert analysis could all play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, causing fluctuations in the market price for the Breda vs Maastricht match. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.