TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include victories for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Breda vs Heracles Almelo professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specified team winning: Breda for the first market, Heracles Almelo for the second, and a tied score for the third. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no regard for post-match tiebreakers or extended play.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more efficient market. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of those participating, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current volume indicates the level of interest in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Breda vs Heracles Almelo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Major events like pre-match interviews or tactical announcements could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to increased volume and price volatility.