TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

VS.

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63%

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Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
limitless
polymarket

Who will get pole position?

Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 AM EST - Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$8
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$6,107
400%
Open interest:
$8N/A

George Russell

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:18h:41m

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 12¢ buys you 833 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $833 | Net Profit: $733 Multiplier: 8.33x | ROI: 733% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

George Russell

Trade
10%
89%
Yes 12¢No 93¢
5¢
$1,178
$8
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

George Russell

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.5%
Yes 12¢No 93¢
Avg: 52.4¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

Pierre Gasly

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Fernando Alonso

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Alexander Albon

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Gabriel Bortoleto

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Sergio Perez

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

Trade
22%
77%
Yes 22¢No 89¢
—
$291
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

Charles Leclerc

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 99.7¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

Esteban Ocon

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Lando Norris

Trade
10%
89%
Yes 10¢No 95¢
—
$1,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

Lando Norris

Trade
N/A
N/A
10.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 10.9¢Max: 10.9¢
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
34%
65%
Yes 34¢No 83¢
—
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

Kimi Antonelli

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 99.7¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

Max Verstappen

Trade
45%
54%
Yes 45¢No 77.5¢
—
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

Max Verstappen

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 99.7¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

Franco Colapinto

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Carlos Sainz Jr.

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Nico Hulkenberg

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Valtteri Bottas

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
20%
79%
Yes 20¢No 90¢
—
$447
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
limitless

Lewis Hamilton

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 99.7¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

Oliver Bearman

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 97¢
—
$1,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
polymarket

Arvid Lindblad

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 18h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This group forecasts which Formula 1 driver will achieve pole position at the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix. The markets define pole position as the fastest time set during the official qualifying session, as recognized by Formula 1, regardless of subsequent penalties or grid changes. Resolution relies on official FIA results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless markets define resolution based on the same criteria: the fastest qualifying time set by a driver, as officially recognized by Formula 1 (FIA), irrespective of post-qualifying penalties.Primary resolution logic: Official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the fastest time set during the qualifying session.
  • The official FIA qualifying results are the primary source for determining the winner.
  • Penalties or grid changes after qualifying do not affect the resolution.
  • If the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 14, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Qualifying Cancelled: If the qualifying session is canceled entirely, the market will likely resolve to 'Other' as there is no qualifying time to determine pole position. This is an assumption based on the cancellation clause for the race itself.
  • Tie for Fastest Time: In the unlikely event of a tie for the fastest qualifying time, the FIA's official results will determine the pole sitter, and that driver will be the basis for resolution.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official FIA qualifying results for the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix are published, expected on November 7, 2026, or shortly thereafter.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Limitless

This is a market on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on who will achieve pole position at the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $8, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities, though individual platforms may show different leading outcomes. The dashboard tracks the probabilities as expressed by traders on each platform, offering a comprehensive overview of the Brazilian Grand Prix pole position market. It provides a unique perspective on expectations surrounding this Formula 1 event.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement about a driver’s chances. The spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and platform fees should be considered.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) regarding the driver who secured pole position during qualifying for the 2026 Brazilian Grand Prix. The outcome will reflect the driver who started the race from the first position on the grid, as determined by the official qualifying results. No further details regarding the resolution process will be provided.

Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Driver performance in preceding races, team announcements regarding car upgrades, and any news related to driver health or potential penalties could all shift trader sentiment. Weather forecasts for the Brazilian Grand Prix weekend are also a significant factor, as rain can dramatically alter qualifying results. Unexpected developments in the championship standings or changes in team strategy could also impact the perceived likelihood of each driver securing pole position. Any significant news related to these factors could lead to substantial movement in this market.