TOTAL VOLUME:
$141.7b
24H VOL:
$113,958,174
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,626,885,236
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,577,361,990
453,985
Markets across
34,993
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,922
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Norway will defeat Brazil by a score of 1-0 in their FIFA World Cup match on regulation time. On Kalshi, the leading outcome of Norway winning 1-0 stands at 57.0%, while a 1-1 draw is at 19.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match is scheduled for July 5, 2026, which marks the event window closing date for this market.
The Brazil vs Norway Regulation Time Correct Score market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible final scoreline—including draws and victories for either team across a range of goal differentials—constitutes a separate resolution condition. The market captures all plausible regulation-time outcomes, from 0-0 draws through high-scoring results, allowing bettors to wager on the precise final score they expect.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a built-in margin. Prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives, which can surface information faster and reflect genuine probability estimates. Comparing this market's implied odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of specific scorelines, highlighting potential value or consensus shifts as the match draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the highest bid and lowest ask at any moment, updating in real time as new trades execute. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final regulation-time score, and the market price converges toward the true probability as more information becomes available and match day approaches.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Brazil vs Norway match concludes and the final regulation-time score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined solely by the official scoreline at the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. All open positions settle based on which correct score outcome occurred, with winners receiving their payout and losers forfeiting their stake.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 5, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers repricing as traders reassess win probabilities and likely scorelines. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes can signal informed conviction. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced by either coach may also influence trader positioning. As match day nears, late-breaking information and shifts in public sentiment typically drive the most volatile price movements.