TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga. The contest will determine whether one of the competing teams secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner. Results are evaluated strictly after the regulation period, excluding any extended play or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Bravo Ljubljana versus Radomlje match scheduled for October 17, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Bravo Ljubljana wins during this regulation period, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Radomlje achieves a regulation-time victory, its market resolves to Yes instead. Should the game conclude in a draw after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any formal association with the governing league or its intellectual property.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds here may shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as this market can react more quickly to changes in perceived probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the fair value of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official final score of the Bravo Ljubljana versus Radomlje match in the Slovenian PrvaLiga. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available data. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can create short-term price fluctuations, as can general shifts in public perception about the teams’ chances of success.