TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Dominik Macej in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Dominik Macej. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Macej' if Dominik Macej advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Dominik Macej in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Dominik Macej. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Macej' if Dominik Macej advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each potential result, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Max Houkes vs Dominik Macej match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.