TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm
- Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 2, 2026
Closed: Nov 2, 7:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Yannik Kelm in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Yannik Kelm. This market will resolve to 'Yannik Kelm' if Yannik Kelm advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Yannik Kelm in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Yannik Kelm. This market will resolve to 'Yannik Kelm' if Yannik Kelm advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional bookmakers, especially when new developments emerge surrounding an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of a particular result in the Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm match.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring a clear understanding of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might impact trading activity. The closer we get to Nov 9, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to new information and developments surrounding the Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm match.