TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Tomas Lanik in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Tomas Lanik. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Tomas Lanik in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Tomas Lanik. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Lucas Poullain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders buy and sell contracts, effectively crowdsourcing a probability assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, leading to potentially different implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Poullain vs Lanik match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Poullain vs Lanik match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the players’ recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about playing conditions or potential disruptions to the match schedule could also have an impact. Even social media buzz and expert analysis can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Poullain vs Lanik match.