TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 04h:43m:39s
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These markets determine whether Bragantino or Santos achieves a decisive victory margin in their upcoming match, focusing solely on the goal difference within regular time plus stoppage time.
The spread markets resolve based on the goal differential between Bragantino and Santos in their Nov 2, 2026 Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Bragantino requires winning by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Santos requires winning by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market has a distinct threshold for a winning margin, and all resolve exclusively on regular-time scoring differences.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It's common to see differences in probabilities implied by the prices in this market versus those offered by sportsbooks, as traders incorporate various factors into their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Bragantino vs Santos match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their assessment of the positions held by other market participants. This dynamic interaction determines the market price and reveals the aggregated forecast of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Bragantino vs Santos match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle to zero. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before the Bragantino vs Santos match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could indicate informed opinions and cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into potential price movements and inform your trading strategy.