TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 6:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This scenario assesses the offensive capabilities of each team within the standard match duration.
If Bragantino and Santos both score a goal in the Bragantino vs Santos Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether both Bragantino and Santos will score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to this outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Bragantino and Santos score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bragantino or Santos would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could also contribute to price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or betting activity at other venues could also influence trading activity on Kalshi.