TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the Bragantino versus Mirassol match in the Brasileiro Serie A on October 7, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the match's regular time, which includes the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution is based purely on goals scored within this timeframe, and own goals are counted for the team they are credited to.
If Bragantino and Mirassol both score a goal in the Bragantino vs Mirassol Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the collective wisdom of traders stacks up against traditional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated predictions of individuals trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available data or the influence of public opinion, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Bragantino vs Mirassol match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe an event will happen, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Bragantino and Mirassol score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be clearly indicated on Kalshi once the information is available and verified.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bragantino or Mirassol would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could influence trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team tactics or starting lineups could also move the market before Oct 8, 2026.