TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular play time, which includes the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this timeframe.
If Bragantino and Cruzeiro both score a goal in the Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and evolving information. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially surpassing or falling short of those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This dynamic creates an interesting comparison point for those looking to gauge public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is entirely driven by supply and demand from PredictionHero users, reflecting their collective assessment of the match’s potential for both teams to find the net. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Bragantino and Cruzeiro score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The resolution process is automated based on these publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of whether the 'Both Teams To Score' condition was met.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bragantino or Cruzeiro would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for attacking play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed by the managers could shift expectations and, consequently, the market price. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.