TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Bragantino and Chapecoense. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Bragantino vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specific half-goal increment, ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals, within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event's outcome. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the total goals fall within a certain range.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will be used to verify the final score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bragantino or Chapecoense would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could shift sentiment and alter the price. Any information that changes perceptions of the teams’ scoring potential has the capacity to move this market.