TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for a professional soccer match between Bragantino and Chapecoense. The focus is on determining whether each team secures a victory by a specified goal differential. Results are evaluated solely based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates four distinct outcome scenarios for the Bragantino vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026. All resolutions depend exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Each market corresponds to a specific goal-differential threshold for either team's victory: Bragantino must win by more than 2.5 goals, Bragantino must win by more than 1.5 goals, Chapecoense must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Chapecoense must win by more than 2.5 goals for their respective markets to resolve positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all referenced trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their oddsmakers, while this market relies on individuals freely trading contracts based on their own analysis. As a result, you might observe differences between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. It’s valuable to compare both to form a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they can profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest insights regarding the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the expected spread.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread for the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Bragantino or Chapecoense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals and events can help you understand the potential for price fluctuations in this market.