TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Bragantino and Chapecoense in Brazil's top-tier league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Bragantino vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A 'Yes' outcome for the Bragantino market occurs if Bragantino secures a victory under these conditions. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Chapecoense applies if they achieve a win within the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if both teams finish level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes from extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent replay matches influence these resolutions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own informed opinion about the likely outcome of the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bragantino vs Chapecoense match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader trends in the league, could also play a role. Significant betting activity, or even media coverage highlighting a particular team's strengths or weaknesses, could also cause noticeable movements in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.