TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Braga and Famalicao. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Braga vs Famalicao professional Liga Portugal soccer match, scheduled for November 1, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. The match duration considered is 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from the count. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the actual goals exceed that threshold and 'No' otherwise. All markets are independent, and the resolution hinges solely on the official match result as recorded by the governing league. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes the true probability lies compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Braga vs Famalicao match will be the determining factor. Official sources, such as sports news outlets and league websites, will be used to verify the final score. The market will then settle based on whether the total goals fall above or below the thresholds defined within the market contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Braga or Famalicao would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Even team lineup announcements closer to kickoff, or any significant tactical shifts reported by analysts, could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the new information.