TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Luka Mikrut in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Luka Mikrut in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, or from information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vilius Gaubas versus Luka Mikrut tennis match in Braga. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.