TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Cacao and Milos Karol in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Milos Karol. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Tiago Cacao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Cacao and Milos Karol in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Milos Karol. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Tiago Cacao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cacao vs Karol match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is a fair representation of the outcome’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiago Cacao vs Milos Karol match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception, could also cause movement. The closer we get to Oct 11, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to any new information regarding the Cacao vs Karol match and the players’ preparedness.