TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Luka Mikrut in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Luka Mikrut in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. Comparing the two can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially revealing undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sumit Nagal vs Luka Mikrut match, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by reputable sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player fitness, injury updates for either Sumit Nagal or Luka Mikrut, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact trading. Finally, significant volume from informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements as they express their views on the likely outcome of the Nagal vs Mikrut match.