TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Benjamin Hassan in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Nijboer and Benjamin Hassan in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Nijboer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ryan Nijboer vs Benjamin Hassan match as determined by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Ryan Nijboer or Benjamin Hassan, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their recent performance, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the event itself could also lead to shifts in the market's pricing.