TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Benjamin Hassan in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Benjamin Hassan in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information surfaces or public opinion shifts regarding the Braga boxing match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Benjamin Hassan in Braga, Portugal. The platform will verify the result against established boxing records and reporting to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training status, potential injuries, or changes in their preparation could significantly impact trader sentiment. Pre-fight interviews or analysis from boxing experts could also sway opinions. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the Braga boxing match, such as changes to the venue or fight rules, could also cause the market to react and adjust its predictions accordingly.