TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Filip Misolic in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Filip Misolic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Filip Misolic in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Filip Misolic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probabilities or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s important to consider these differences when evaluating potential value in either market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Schoen vs Misolic match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Patrick Schoen vs Filip Misolic match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and drive price movements, especially if they signal new information or a change in conviction about the match’s likely outcome.