TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Tiago Cacao in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Tiago Cacao. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Olle Wallin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Tiago Cacao in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Tiago Cacao. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Olle Wallin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and profit margins, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines, or simply have different interpretations of the available data. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present potential value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Olle Wallin and Tiago Cacao, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about match conditions or potential disruptions could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades by informed individuals or groups could indicate a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the odds.