TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oleksii Krutykh and Francisco Rocha in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Francisco Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Oleksii Krutykh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oleksii Krutykh and Francisco Rocha in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Francisco Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Oleksii Krutykh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and marketing strategies, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as prediction markets tend to converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and more volume is traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd, creating a real-time forecast of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Oleksii Krutykh and Francisco Rocha. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the Krutykh vs Rocha match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Krutykh or Rocha could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment regarding their performance, could also play a role. Major upsets or surprising tactical decisions during the match itself would likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.