TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Lukas Neumayer in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s likely result, influenced by factors like player form, recent results, and even news reports.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dodig vs Neumayer match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or unexpected results in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, training reports, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability of either player winning.