TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Johan Nikles and Martim Bernardo in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Johan Nikles' if Johan Nikles advances against Martim Bernardo. This market will resolve to 'Martim Bernardo' if Martim Bernardo advances against Johan Nikles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Johan Nikles and Martim Bernardo in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Johan Nikles' if Johan Nikles advances against Martim Bernardo. This market will resolve to 'Martim Bernardo' if Martim Bernardo advances against Johan Nikles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nikles vs Bernardo match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments could impact perceptions of player capabilities. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trading activity and price movements.