TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Maia and Javier Barranco Cosano in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Maia' if Hugo Maia advances against Javier Barranco Cosano. This market will resolve to 'Javier Barranco Cosano' if Javier Barranco Cosano advances against Hugo Maia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Maia and Javier Barranco Cosano in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Maia' if Hugo Maia advances against Javier Barranco Cosano. This market will resolve to 'Javier Barranco Cosano' if Javier Barranco Cosano advances against Hugo Maia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each candidate winning the Braga mayoral election. As more people buy shares in a particular candidate, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, driven by the informed opinions of traders participating on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities for the Braga mayoral election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Major campaign events, such as debates or rallies, could shift public opinion and impact the perceived chances of each candidate. Unexpected endorsements from prominent figures or the release of new polling data could also cause significant price movements. Additionally, any news related to potential controversies or scandals involving the candidates could introduce volatility. Monitoring media coverage and political analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 11, 2026.