TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guilherme Valdoleiros and Vladyslav Orlov in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Valdoleiros' if Guilherme Valdoleiros advances against Vladyslav Orlov. This market will resolve to 'Vladyslav Orlov' if Vladyslav Orlov advances against Guilherme Valdoleiros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guilherme Valdoleiros and Vladyslav Orlov in the Braga, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Valdoleiros' if Guilherme Valdoleiros advances against Vladyslav Orlov. This market will resolve to 'Vladyslav Orlov' if Vladyslav Orlov advances against Guilherme Valdoleiros. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant event or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately predict the outcome of the Valdoleiros vs Orlov match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Valdoleiros vs Orlov match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valdoleiros vs Orlov match, as reported by the governing body for the sport. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact traders' perceptions of each player's chances of winning. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels are also likely to cause significant movement. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either Valdoleiros or Orlov winning the match could lead to substantial shifts in the market price.