TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Matej Dodig in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Matej Dodig. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Matej Dodig in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Matej Dodig. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where public perception deviates from expert analysis. Examining these differences can highlight potential value or areas where the market anticipates information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, converging towards a consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth—the number of shares available at various price points—indicates the level of confidence and potential liquidity for each outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Moeller vs Dodig match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moeller vs Dodig match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could trigger price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also affect market sentiment. Increased media coverage or high-profile endorsements could also draw more attention and volume to this market, potentially leading to greater price volatility as the event approaches.