TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Pereira/Lopez and Forcano/Luque in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pereira/Lopez' if the team of Pereira/Lopez advances against Forcano/Luque. This market will resolve to 'Forcano/Luque' if the team of Forcano/Luque advances against Pereira/Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Pereira/Lopez and Forcano/Luque in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pereira/Lopez' if the team of Pereira/Lopez advances against Forcano/Luque. This market will resolve to 'Forcano/Luque' if the team of Forcano/Luque advances against Pereira/Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement about the likely result. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds-makers, particularly when there is a strong consensus among informed traders. Examining these differences can reveal insights into market efficiency.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a dynamic and responsive valuation of the Braga doubles match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Braga doubles match between Pereira/Lopez and Forcano/Luque. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect perceptions of team form and confidence. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to cause movement in this market.